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We still believe the best chance of scattered showers and storms across Alabama today will be to the west and south of here, generally south of U.S. 82, or south of a line from Tuscaloosa to Montgomery and Eufaula. However, a few isolated ones could show up somewhere across North Alabama during the heat of the afternoon. Birmingham’s official high yesterday was 90, we should be a few degrees hotter this afternoon.
ON THE MAPS: We have a surface front to the north, and the old system over East Texas that is producing heavy rain around Houston this morning. The front is drifting south, and the impulse over Texas is drifting to the east, and we believe between these two features we will see a pronounced increase in the number of scattered showers and storms tomorrow and over the weekend. You know the deal, rainfall won’t be distributed very evenly due to the convective nature of the rain, but many Alabama communities have a good shot of getting over one inch of rain during that three day period (tomorrow through Sunday). There should be some decent intervals of sunshine each day, especially during the morning hours.
LONG RANGE: Still looks like near normal temperatures and rain for Alabama through the rest of July, although the 00Z GFS shows the 5940 meter 500 millibar heat ring getting dangerously close to Alabama by July 20. Lets hope that thing doesn’t creep in here late this month, and set up shop through August.
TROPICS: Our little wave around 12N and 47W, about 1,000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles, is still hanging in there, but it is surrounded by very dry air, and I doubt if this thing survives much longer. If it does, the models take it to near Hispanolia by early next week.
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I will have the next Weather Xtreme video posted by 3:30 this afternoon… enjoy the day!
