Published on: December 18, 2007 at 6:15 AM

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Another cold morning across Alabama… a quick peek over in our Skywatchers Instant Message conference suggests temperatures this morning are mostly in the 20 to 30 degree range across the northern half of Alabama with a thick blanket of frost in many areas. We should reach the mid to upper 50s this afternoon.

TOMORROW: A weak impulse swings across Alabama tomorrow morning; the GFS is a tad more aggressive with the chance of a shower with this feature; for now we have mentioned just an outside risk of a shower tomorrow, we will take a look at the 12Z model runs a little later this morning and amend that if needed.

THURSDAY: This will be our best chance of rain during the week; still looks like we have the potential for one-half inch of rain during the day. A few thunderstorms could be involved, but severe weather should not be a problem with little instability.

FRIDAY: We will be in-between systems; this will be a dry day with a high in the 57 to 64 degree range.

THE WEEKEND: A stronger system rolls in here over the weekend; it will be similar to the system we dealt with last weekend. Looks like the best chance of rain and storms will come Saturday night, with potential for one-half to one inch. Thunderstorms will be possible, but severe weather for doesn’t look likely with marginal instability values. SPC has taken a pretty good part of Alabama out of the severe weather risk for this event in their Day 4-8 outlook.

Sunday looks like a cold and blustery day; I will need to adjust numbers downward on Sunday with the air coming across the big snow fields to the north. We will have a hard time rising above the mid 40s with a strong and very chilly north wind.

CHRISTMAS WEATHER: No change in our thinking; the weather looks cold and dry Monday and Tuesday of next week. Both mornings we should begin the day in the 20s, with a high not too far from 50 degrees. If you want snow for Christmas, we suggest Minneapolis, Chicago, Cleveland, or Buffalo.

LONG RANGE: The wave train remains active through the end of the year; the GFS continues to advertise a pretty good rain event in the December 28-29 time frame.

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