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You probably know what we are going to say this time of the year. Hot and humid; partly sunny with a few neighborhoods getting a passing thunderstorm between 1:00 and 9:00 p.m. Very typical summertime weather will continue through mid-week, with afternoon highs in the 90 to 93 degree range for most communities. The chance of any one lawn getting wet today, tomorrow, and Thursday is about one in four.
FRIDAY/SATURDAY: We still believe these two days will offer the best coverage of showers and storms, thanks to a developing upper trough over the Atlantic coast, and a surface front approaching Alabama from the north. Understand rainfall distribution even on the days will not be even, and some of you will be disappointed, but generally speaking we think rainfall amounts of one-half to one inch are likely. Some spots might even see more from the heavier downpours.
SUNDAY/MONDAY: Drier air will creep into North Alabama by Saturday night, and on these two days it appears any showers and storms will be confined to the southern quarter of Alabama. Humidity values will be a tad lower, and nights a little cooler.
FOURTH OF JULY: For now it looks like pretty routine summer weather for Alabama on Independence Day, with a high in the 90s and the risk of a passing afternoon storm for a few spots. The most intense heat will be found across the plains, if the GFS is correct, with places like Omaha and Kansas City approaching 100 degrees.
TROPICS: Still very quiet across the Atlantic basin this morning, and the GFS does not depict any tropical action during the next two weeks.
This morning I will be headed out to the Tarrant Public Library for a summer reading program; I will be back in the weather office by early afternoon, and the afternoon edition of the Weather Xtreme video should be ready by 3:30 or so!