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Looks like Central Alabama is in store for one more day that is simply not typical for summer time. The Birmingham high yesterday was only 82, the second day in a row for such a low high for the day. But the primary culprit in the current string of cooler days is gradually expected to move westward along the Gulf Coast away from us allowing a strong ridge to once again bring heat back into the picture.
For today, we’ll be on the edge of the upper level weakness so look for mostly cloudy skies once again with more sun over the Tennessee River Valley. Patchy light rain will occur this morning with showers possible this afternoon primarily south of Birmingham. Highs are only expected to get into the lower and mid 80s for the third day. Enjoy it, though, because we should warm back up beginning Monday.
As the upper ridge builds our way and the upper level weakness moves westward along the Gulf Coast, we should see temperatures climb back toward 90 degrees on Monday and into the lower 90s on Tuesday. By Wednesday and the rest of the week, I expect to see temperatures climb into the mid 90s for highs. But take heart, there appear to be some changes just around the corner.
For Wednesday through Saturday, the main story remains our upper level ridge. With the heat and humidity, widely scattered storms remain a daily possibility. One small chink in the forecast is that weak disturbance currently off the East Coast of Florida. Just exactly how strong it will be and where exactly it moves could have an impact on the forecast for the middle of the week. For now, it appears that this disturbance will stay in the Gulf and move into Louisiana keeping the Gulf Coast wet but not have much influence on us. This small feature will be watched to make sure it does not impact this forecast.
But by next Sunday, we may be seeing some changes that could be quite welcome. A strong short wave moving across Canada is forecast to dig into the eastern half of the country forcing the ridge to the west. This could produce a wet and cooler end for July if this pattern occurs. There is some hope that this will come about since we’ve begun to see some consistency in this solution over the last several model runs. Let’s hope this brings a break in the heat for a large section of the country.
NHC is watching an area off the east coast of Florida. While I was preparing this video, the latest tropical weather summary came out and they upped the potential for storm formation to 30 percent. Still, chances are somewhat slim with the land to deal with and conditions only marginally favorable for development.
SPC has outlooked a slight risk of severe weather from the Great Lakes westward to Montana. That area shifts on Day 2, or Monday, to the Great Lakes eastward to New England.
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Thanks for staying tuned to the Weather Xtreme Video. James Spann will be back in the driver’s seat on Monday morning with the next edition. I’m really excited about heading north on Monday for a visit to Chicago and my daughter. We’re planning a trip into the Upper Peninsula of Michigan where we’ll be staying near Manistique! We have our digital cameras all charged up and are hoping for some Northern Lights, some moose, a few light houses, and perhaps a sunken ship or two! Have a wonderful week and Godspeed.
-Brian-
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