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As expected, scattered showers and storms have formed this afternoon in the moist, unstable air over Alabama. See J.B.’s updates for the latest on the current thunderstorm situation. They should go downhill later this evening once the air becomes more stable and the sun sets.
I still don’t expect much change through Friday… each day will feature more clouds than sun, and a chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms. The stronger storms will come during the afternoon hours, but a late night or morning shower is certainly possible in this kind of regime.
OUR WEEKEND: The 12Z GFS goes nuts with the amplitude across North America; a deep upper trough digs down the Atlantic coast, and drives a surface front all the way to Deep South Alabama by Saturday morning. If by chance this is correct, the northern half of Alabama will be bone dry Saturday and Sunday with lower humidity and cooler nights. But, this is July and not January, and surface fronts rarely behave in that fashion this time of the year. So for now, we will reject the 12Z GFS and keep the chance of scattered showers and storms going statewide for the weekend. We will watch future runs, and if the drier solution becomes more likely we have some time to adjust the forecast as needed.
LONG RANGE: Nothing on the maps to make us change our mind for the rest of July; the general idea is daytime temperatures a little below normal, with rainfall a little above normal.
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I spent the morning at a workshop on “New Media”… it featured an assortment of folks from the broadcast and public relations world here in the Birmingham area. Glad to see that more and more people are getting the idea that the changes in our business are fast and furious, and the digital era is here. In fact, much of the morning was devoted discussing the power of blogs, just like this one!
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