PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1145 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2008
…SIGNIFICANT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FROM THE ARKLATEX AND MID SOUTH REGION EASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES TODAY AND TONIGHT…
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG TORNADOES…WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND VERY LARGE HAIL FROM THE ARKLATEX AND MID SOUTH REGION EASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ALABAMA
MUCH OF ARKANSAS
PARTS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL GEORGIA
FAR SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
WESTERN KENTUCKY
NORTHERN LOUISIANA
SOUTHERN MISSOURI
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA
WESTERN AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE
NORTHEASTERN TEXAS
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES THIS AFTERNOON…EMERGING INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY LATE TODAY AND CONTINUING ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY REGION AND GULF COAST STATES OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS IS ALREADY IN PLACE FROM TEXAS EASTWARD ALONG THE GULF COAST…AND THIS UNSTABLE AIR WILL EXPAND NORTHWARD WITH TIME AS LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS ACROSS THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
WHILE TORNADOES…DAMAGING WIND AND VERY LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE ANYWHERE WITHIN THE MODERATE RISK AREA…THE GREATEST THREAT FOR STRONG TORNADOES WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARKANSAS…NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND WESTERN TENNESSEE.
IN ADDITION TO THE THREAT OF A FEW TORNADOES…WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS MISSISSIPPI…ALABAMA…AND GEORGIA.
THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO…TELEVISION…AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES…WARNINGS…AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.
..MEAD/JEWELL.. 05/10/2008
Here is the updated Categorial Severe Weather Outlook from SPC…
Here is the probability of a severe wind event occurring within 25 miles of a location…
And the probability of severe hail occurring within 25 miles of any location…
And finally…the probability of a tornado within 25 miles of any location…
