A few developments in the tropics this morning.
We had predicted that Karen would be downgraded to a tropical depression today and that has now happened.
Karen is battling a good amount of shear and may not even survive the day as a depression. Interestingly, the models still hang onto Karen and make it a hurricane eventually. That looks unlikely now, but we will be looking for signs of regeneration. If it does, a more westerly course is possible.
Tropical depression 14 became Tropical Storm Melissa this morning in the far eastern Atlantic. It will have a rough go with lots of wind shear and will likely lose its tropical standing in the next couple of days.
Elsewhere, we will be watching for a tropical or subtropical depression to form off the coast of North Carolina by Tuesday or Wednesday. It could play a role or even absorb the remnants of Karen.
