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DRY TOMORROW: Not much change in our overall thinking from this morning; drier air will filter into Alabama from the north tonight, and should set the stage tomorrow for a rain-free day across North Alabama with a partly sunny sky and lower humidity levels. Any showers tomorrow should be mostly south of U.S. 84, or south of a line from Monroeville to Evergreen to Dothan.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: The intrusion of dry air will be temporary; moist air returns Wednesday, and the latter half of the week will be rather tropical with some risk of showers and storms on a daily basis. The good news is that widespread severe weather doesn’t look likely here (those issues should be mostly up north over the Midwest), and the rain won’t be continuous. The best chance of a shower or storm will come during the daytime warmth, but a nighttime or morning shower sure can’t be ruled out in this kind of airmass. Highs will be generally in the low 80s.
As we get into the warm weather season, due to the scattered nature of the storms, it is almost impossible to tell you exactly when and where the rain will fall; you just have to keep an eye on radar trends as the daily storms begin their life cycle. Afternoon thunderstorms on a summer day in Alabama is the greatest forecast challenge we have during the year… we know they will be there, but no way of knowing where they form, and how long the rain will last. Just a limitation of the science.
THE WEEKEND: The moist air hang around over the weekend. Scattered showers and storms will remain in the forecast Saturday, becoming more numerous Sunday in advance of a surface front. Strong storms and heavy rain is very possible Sunday.
NEXT WEEK: Looks like another fairly quick shot of drier air on Monday and Tuesday of next week, before higher humidity values returns by Wednesday along with the chance of scattered showers and storms.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. You can even listen here on the blog; look for the player on the top left. We will record this week’s show Wednesday night.
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Thanks for Ashley Brand for covering a weather program for me this morning at Oxford Elementary… be looking for those kids on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News. The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…
