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Not much change in our forecast thinking… we stay dry tomorrow, but rain returns before the week wraps up.
TO THE WEST: A deep upper low will form over the nation’s mid-section tomorrow, setting the stage for a major early season snow storm for parts of Kansas, Nebraska, and South Dakota. In the warm sector, a few strong to severe storms are possible tomorrow over parts of East Texas and the Ark-La-Tex region.
HERE IN ALABAMA: Showers should begin to move into West Alabama Thursday afternoon, with the rain becoming more widespread statewide by Thursday night. Friday still looks like a cool and wet day, with occasional rain and temperatures holding in the low 60s. There could be some thunder since there will be excellent dynamic forcing, but the low levels will be stable and strong storms are not expected. Rainfall amounts of about one inch seem likely, and the most widespread rain should come from about 6:00 p.m. Thursday until 12:00 midnight Friday night.
WHAT ABOUT THE WEEKEND: A dry slot moves into Alabama Saturday, and the sky should become partly sunny by afternoon. I guess a few isolated showers are possible near the Tennessee border Saturday afternoon due to the very cold air aloft, but most of the state should be dry. Sunday also looks dry as the big storm lifts northeast, away from Alabama.
FOOTBALL WEATHER: This week we have a Thursday night special… Auburn plays at West Virginia (kickoff at 6:30 p.m. CDT) in Morgantown. The weather will be excellent; a clear sky with a kickoff temperature of 54 degrees, dropping through the 40s during the game. If you are making the trip you will need a warm jacket.
Saturday… Alabama will take on the Tennessee Volunteers at 6:45 (CDT) Saturday night. The big cold core upper low will be a big player here (see the morning discussion)… so we will mention a chance of showers during the game with temperatures falling through the 50s, possibly reaching the 40s by the fourth quarter. And, yes, a few snow flakes are possible in the Great Smoky mountains (the higher terrain) just east of Knoxville Saturday night into Sunday.
NEXT WEEK: The idea of a big frost is off the table for now… the GFS keeps the coldest air north of Alabama. Nights will be cool, but no colder than recent nights. And, the first half of next week looks dry at this point.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. You can even listen here on the blog; look for the player on the top left.
STORM ALERT XTREME: Want to be trained as a storm spotter? Want to join the ABC 33/40 Skywatcher team? Our annual training event, Storm Alert Xtreme, is coming up on Saturday November 15 at the BJCC during the annual Birmingham International Auto Show. You will be trained by the best SKYWARN trainer in the nation, our own Brian Peters (he has trained over 6,000 Alabama storm spotters over the years), and learn from one of the most brilliant weather researchers in the country, our own Dr. Tim Coleman. We encourage all of our Skywatchers to attend this every year; you simply cannot get enough training. We will begin at 9:30, and be out by 3:30. And, everyone that attends Storm Alert Xtreme gets free admission to the Alabama International Auto Show. There is no admission charge, and no need to register. Just show up, but get there early for a good seat. We had a packed house last year.
I enjoyed making an appearance on the “Talk of Alabama” this morning on ABC 33/40… if you haven’t seen it, that is our new local talk show that airs weekdays from 9:00 until 10:00. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow!
