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The chance of rain is going up, and heat levels coming down in coming days. Sure works for me.
We expect a day to day increase in the amount of convection across Alabama through Thursday. Storms this afternoon will be scattered, then becoming more numerous tomorrow, and widespread at times on Thursday. During the next three days most Alabama communities can expect one-half to one inch of rain, but as we all know a good tropical downpour can bring just that much in only 30 minutes or so. By the time we get to Thursday, temperatures most likely won’t get out of the 80s.
FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: The GFS has backed off on the idea of drying Friday, and keeps a fairly moist regime going over all of Alabama, and if the 12Z run confirms this, we will drop the “mostly south of Birmingham” wording in our forecast for showers and storms on Friday. The weekend still looks drier over the northern half of the state, with the deeper moisture showing up south of Montgomery.
The GFS is hinting at a tropical low forming over the northern Gulf on Sunday, then moving northward through Alabama on Monday and Tuesday of next week. If this is right, we could be in for some beneficial rain. But, that is certainly not a lock as other GFS runs have moved the low through southern Georgia and into the Carolinas. We won’t go crazy with rain chances for now since we have plenty of time to watch this.
VOODOO LAND: Once again, we don’t see any long lasting period of excessive heat around here through mid-August (we define excessive heat as upper 90s or hotter).
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I am going to see the kids in the summer program at Vestavia West Elementary this morning… then into the office and the afternoon Weather Xtreme video should be posted by 3:30 or so. Enjoy the day!
