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MOIST AIR RETURNING: Moisture levels are increasing, and today we have a few isolated showers as far north as Winston and Walker Counties as I write this update. We expect a fairly good coverage of afternoon showers and storms statewide tomorrow as a surface front approaches from the north, and the impulse now over East Texas drifts to the east. Then, over the weekend, we expect very high PW values (precipitable water) across the state, and with old boundaries, the surface front to the north, and the mid-level impulse just to the west, we have to expect scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday. Watch the video and you can see the new QPF graphic from HPC suggests between two and three inches of rain for North Alabama for the next five days. Not bad for a state that remains in a very serious drought. And, of course, not everyone will see that much rain due to the convective nature of the precipitation. But, the bottom line is that the weekend is looking wet at times.
NEXT WEEK: A soupy, moist airmass will remain parked over Alabama, so scattered afternoon showers and storms will be in the forecast on a daily basis for most of next week, with afternoon highs generally in the low 90s, about normal for mid-July in Alabama.
LONG RANGE: The 12Z run does not show the big western heat bubble close to Alabama for the next 15 days… in fact even in the Desert Southwest the heat levels will back off a bit in coming days as the upper high shrinks up and weakens.
TROPICS: We are still watching the tropical wave around 12N and 48W, but odds are that it won’t survive much longer due to all of the dry air around it. Watch the video and you can see what we mean.
WEATHER PARTY: Get all the latest weather news over on our sister site, WeatherParty.com. Be sure and register while you are there; you can submit stories and vote on them to determine what is published on the front page. Lots of very interesting stories over there this afternoon as usual.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather hosted by David Black and featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.
I will have the next Weather Xtreme video posted by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow!
