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The active weather is behind us with just some patchy light rain to deal with today. But temperatures have turned sharply colder compared with the temperatures we’ve been experiencing the last several days.
The cold front was located in extreme East Central Alabama across the Southeast sections into the Gulf. It will continue to move eastward, but clouds extend all the way to eastern Arkansas, so very little clearing can be expected until late in the afternoon – and that clearing primarily for western sections.
The rain will be ending from west to east during the day. I expect the patchy light rain to be ending at Birmingham around 1 pm or so with some light rain continuing during the afternoon for eastern sections. But by sunset and trick or treat time the rain should be over.
And after the rain ends, it looks like the better part of the upcoming week will be dry. In the upper atmosphere, we will continue under a long wave trough over the eastern half of the country as traveling short waves migrate a bit further north for the next several days. A strong short wave about Tuesday could drag some clouds across the area.
By the end of the week, the surface high will have migrated into the northern Atlantic putting us in an easterly flow. This could spell some clouds for us and the GFS even paints some patchy light rain. We’ll be keeping an eye on this possible development, but I’m going to stick with dry for now.
By Saturday, a front may be approaching from the northwest, and that could bring some rain our way. However, that is verging on voodoo country, so timing might mean the better threat of rain would come on Sunday.
No activity presently going on in the Atlantic. And the Storm Prediction Center is not forecasting any severe weather in the country – in fact, they are not forecasting any thunderstorms at all.
Peeking into voodoo country, the long wave trough maintains itself over the eastern half of the US. The progression of short wave troughs continues, so we will be seeing regular rain chances as we head toward the middle of November.
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STORM ALERT XTREME: Want to be trained as a storm spotter? Want to join the ABC 33/40 Skywatcher team? Storm Alert Xtreme, our annual training event, is coming up on Saturday, November 14, at the BJCC during the annual Birmingham International Auto Show. We encourage all of Skywatchers to attend this every year; you simply cannot get enough training. We will begin at 9:30, and be out by 3:30. And, everyone that attends Storm Alert Xtreme gets free admission to the Alabama International Auto Show. There is no admission charge, and no need to register. Just show up, but get there early for a good seat. We had a packed the house last year.
Be safe on this Halloween. If you are out this evening be sure to drive slowly in residential neighborhoods and watch out for those charging youngsters and they make their trek from door to door. The next Weather Xtreme Video should be posted by 8 am tomorrow morning. Godspeed.
-Brian-
For your meteorological consulting needs, Coleman and Peters, LLC, can provide you with accurate, detailed information on past storms, lightning, flooding, and wind damage. Whether it is an insurance claim needing validation or a court case where weather was a factor, we can furnish you with information you need. Please call us at (205) 568-4401.
