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NICE WARM-UP TODAY: After a sub-freezing start this morning, temperatures will warm nicely today, with most communities winding up near 60 degrees this afternoon. The sky will be mostly sunny, although high clouds will begin invading the state by midday. Those clouds will thicken tonight.
RAIN AT TIMES TOMORROW: Watch the Weather Xtreme video and you will see the 06Z GFS is a little slower with the showers tomorrow; we won’t make any changes in the forecast just yet. For now, we still expect the best coverage of showers tomorrow morning, and with only limited moisture we expect rain amounts to be near a quarter of an inch. There is no real surface based instability, so any thunder should be very hard to find. The rain moves out tomorrow afternoon, and a fresh surge of cool and dry air blows in here tomorrow night.
FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: We are still projecting cool and dry weather, with highs mostly in the 50s and early morning lows at or below freezing. Each day should feature a good supply of sunshine; nights will be mostly clear.
NEXT WEEK AND BEYOND: Still looks like rain returns by Tuesday afternoon of next week; the latest GFS run shows the best rain coverage late Tuesday and Tuesday night. The model has backed off on the intensity of that system, and the idea of heavy rain and strong storms is off the table for now. And, the air moving into the state Wednesday doesn’t look all that cold. Beyond that, the 06Z GFS goes into a odd direction and tries to show ridging around here with warmer temperatures through mid-month. That run is an outlier, and doesn’t make much sense with so much cold air around.
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This morning I will be down in Columbiana doing a weather program at Elvin Hill Elementary School… I will be back in the office by early afternoon and the next Weather Xtreme video will be posted by 3:30. Enjoy the day!
