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Lots of action on the radar this afternoon… scroll down for J.B.’s continuous running updates. Many neighborhoods will get lots of rain from the stronger storms this afternoon, but of course some spots were short-changed on the rain. That is the way it goes on a summer afternoon in Alabama, even with the numerous storms we have now.
REST OF THE WEEK AND THE WEEKEND: The upper air feature that is aiding the thunderstorms today won’t move much tomorrow, so it looks like tomorrow will be another day with scattered to numerous showers and storms statewide. We sure won’t complain; Birmingham’s rain deficit for the year is still 17.54″, while the deficiency at Tuscaloosa is 20.71″.
Another surface front will form north of Alabama Wednesday, dropping down to near the Alabama/Tennessee line by Thursday. The air will remain very moist across the state, so scattered showers and storms are likely on both days, perhaps a little more numerous on Thursday thanks to the front to the north.
That front stalls and dissipates, and another one moves down to the Alabama/Tennessee border on Saturday. Bottom line is that showers and storms will remain active on Friday and Saturday. We are optimistic that most communities will receive between one and two inches of rain between now and Friday, with local amounts to four inches.
The GFS moves drier air into North Alabama on Sunday…. and keeps rain limited to the southern quarter of the state on Sunday and Monday. I am very doubtful about that solution; fronts just don’t push south of I-20 that often this time of the year.
LONG RANGE: Nothing really exciting shows up in the July 16-25 time frame; the GFS has backed off on that nasty 5940 meter 500 mb heat bubble across the entire southern third of the U.S. toward the end of the forecast period… thank goodness. For now this period looks like we will see normal levels of heat and rain, coming from afternoon showers and storms.
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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather hosted by David Black and featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will record an all new episode tonight; that new show will be on the web and on iTunes by early tomorrow.
I enjoyed speaking to a big group of middle school and high school students this morning at Jeff State Community College about meteorology… they were a great audience. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video to be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow!
