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RAIN CHANCES INCREASING: We continue to believe that we will see a general increase in the number of showers and thunderstorms across Alabama tomorrow through the weekend, in response to a deep layer of tropical moisture moving up from the south, along with a general weakening of the upper ridge over the Deep South. An upper trough from the Great Lakes to the Tennessee Valley will enhance the thunderstorm development by Sunday.
Along with the increase in showers, heat levels will decrease; the high tomorrow will be in the upper 80s, and mid 80s are likely by the weekend due to the increase in clouds and showers.
QPF guidance from HPC suggests 1 to 1.5 inches of rain for much of the state through Sunday, but one good, slow moving thunderstorm could drop that much rain in only an hour or so in this kind of airmass.
The 12Z GFS now shows drier air moving into Alabama early next week following a surface front, and we will trend the forecast drier for Monday and Tuesday.
NEXT WEEK: Looks like routine summer weather for Independence Day; partly sunny and hot weather with a chance of scattered, mainly afternoon showers and storms late next week. Highs should be in the low 90s.
TROPICAL WEATHER: Disorganized thunderstorms continue in the Southeast Gulf of Mexico, but upper air winds are not favorable for anything to get together, and tropical storm formation is not expected through Friday.
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I had a great time with the kids this morning at Valley Intermediate… be looking for them on the KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…
