We are seeing some low topped thunderstorms developing across South Central Alabama this afternoon. They are being fed by some warmer, more moist air that is edging in from the southwest on those strong winds both at the surface and aloft.
Instabilities are only around 500 j/kg over South Central into Southwest Alabama and back into Mississippi, bu that has been sufficient to produce some low topped showers. Still no lightning on my network or from spotters, but I would not be surprised to find out we are getting some or will soon from the better showers.
Just after 2 o’clock, the heavier showers were…
..in Hale County…southeast of Greensboro…that cell has a little rotation on it…
…In Chilton County from Clanton down to Billingsley…some pretty heavy rainfall developing in this short line segment…now getting a top to 40,000 feet also. Look for lightning shortly from this one. \
…healthy cell near Linden in Marengo County…
…an embryonic cell moving into Clay County is starting to show some 50 dbz returns on radar…it will likely grow…
Everything is moving to the northeast as the lines move east.
The NWS just issued a SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR BIBB, HALE AND PERRY COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM CST for Bibb, Hale and Perry Counties till 2:45 PM CST
Wind shear values are going down now as the best dynamics lift out to the northeast, but there may be enough spin left to produce some rotating updrafts from any discrete cells that form in these bands out ahead of the main line.
The instabilities are very marginal, but with good shear, we sometimes get some little spinning storms.
No watches in effect, and don’t anticipate one. Can’t rule out a couple of rogue warnings as we go through the afternoon.
