MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2382
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0815 PM CST FRI NOV 14 2008
AREAS AFFECTED…PARTS OF SERN MS/PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NRN
AL/NWRN GA
CONCERNING…SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 150215Z – 150415Z
STORMS CONTINUE SPREADING EWD ACROSS ERN MS AND W CENTRAL/NWRN AL.
AN ASSOCIATED/MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY LINGER OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS.
A BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY EWD
ACROSS PARTS OF ERN MS/NRN AND WRN AL ATTM…BENEATH THE AXIS OF A
COMPACT SHORT-WAVE TROUGH CROSSING THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION.
EVENING BMX /BIRMINGHAM AL/ RAOB REVEALED A MARGINALLY-UNSTABLE BUT
FAVORABLY-SHEARED ENVIRONMENT…AND THE LATEST BMX VWP ALSO DEPICTS
A PERSISTENTLY-FAVORABLE WIND FIELD WITH HEIGHT.
STORMS HAVE THUS FAR REMAINED SUB-SEVERE…AND SHOULD GENERALLY
CONTINUE TO DO SO OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER…UNTIL THE TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS
EWD INTO GA…A LOW-END SEVERE POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO LINGER.
GREATEST THREAT SHOULD EXIST ACROSS NERN AL AND INTO ADJACENT NWRN
GA…INVOF A SMALL UPPER CIRCULATION CENTER REVEALED BY WV IMAGERY
WITHIN THE BROADER SHORT-WAVE TROUGH.
