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SPC maintains a slight risk of severe weather for most of Alabama for the rest of this afternoon into early tonight as a surface front moves into the Tennessee Valley. Storms have intensified rapidly over the northern quarter of Alabama in the last 30 minutes, and this trend should continue into the evening hours. The NWS in Huntsville has issued a severe thunderstorm warning for Lincoln County, Tennessee during the last few minutes, and I expect more warnings as the storms expand and drop to the southeast. In fact, a number of warnings have been issued for counties in North Alabama within the past few minutes…
TOMORROW, FRIDAY, AND THE WEEKEND: Still quite a contrast in the GFS, which suggests a continued risk of scattered showers and storms daily, and the NAM, which is bone dry tomorrow and Friday, and mostly dry over the weekend.
No doubt we will see fewer showers and storms tomorrow and Friday, but I think it would be a mistake to go as dry as the NAM. So, we will mention widely scattered showers and storms both days with a high in the low 90s. For the weekend and into early next week, we will continue the typical summer forecast with partly sunny days, the chance of scattered afternoon and evening showers and storms, and highs mostly in the low 90s. We can fine tune that daily forecast as we go along; remember the coverage and intensity of afternoon storms on a summer day is generally dictated by mesoscale features, not the synoptic scale systems you see on models.
DOLLY: The hurricane made landfall on South Padre Island early this afternoon with sustained winds of around 100 mph. Scroll down for the specific notes on the storm from J.B… flooding, tornadoes, and storm surge problems will continue tonight across the southern tip of Texas. Dolly will rain herself out over northern Mexico in coming days, although some of the moisture might make it to New Mexico or Arizona.
Invest 97L in the far eastern Atlantic is having a hard time… it is a higher latitude system west of the Cape Verde Islands fighting cooler ocean water… and most likely this one will recurve into the open Atlantic.
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I had a great time speaking to the senior adults today at White Springs Baptist Church in Rainbow City… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow!
