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Central Alabama is waking up to a rather gray morning with a good bit of cloudiness. But, as the Skycam network shows, as you get further north the sky gets brighter with fewer clouds at Cullman and Hamilton. One of the things I always find amazing about the weather is how you can have a tropical depression so close and yet not get any major effects from it. The center of decaying TD 10 was located between Mobile and Hattiesburg as I write this. Most radar echoes were confined to the immediate coast from about Fort Walton to near Slidell. So for Central Alabama, it appears that we will be passed by for any significant rain.
But the circulation will help to keep the Gulf wide open and dew points were running around 70 degrees this morning. With a moist air mass, you can expect to see a few showers develop in the afternoon, but they should be isolated. And the warm, moist pattern will be with us through the start of the upcoming week, so the forecast sounds a bit redundant as well as a bit like a summertime forecast with isolated to scattered showers possible each day. And the warmth will continue with highs in the mid to upper 80s, and I would not be surprised to see a few readings break into the 90s.
The deep upper low on the West Coast will be ejecting northeastward in the week ahead. As it does it will pull northeastward so that by the middle of the week we should see a cold front approaching the Southeast from the northwest. Unfortunately, the front is not expected to make it here as it washes out somewhere in the vicinity of the Tennessee Valley or even Middle Tennessee. And that should allow us to dry out a bit for a day or so before the surface high gets over New England and brings a moist, easterly flow back into Georgia and Alabama.
Tropics remain active with several areas to watch. Cloudiness extended from the Western Caribbean into the Bahamas, but there was no sign of organization. A tropical low was located about 1000 miles east of Bermuda but headed into open water. And a large area of disturbed weather about halfway between Africa and the Leeward Islands has not changed much but slow development was possible.
In the long range there is not much change to the weather pattern as we reach October. But the GFS was forecasting BIG changes around October 7th. While not impossible, the development seemed much too radical and it is a long way into voodoo territory. If ther GFS is right, though, we might see some pretty chilly air which I would love to have happen.
I’m headed out to Jacksonville this morning to help them celebrate the hometown focus. If you are in the area, drop by our tent on the square and say hello. Then it’s back to the station as I fill in for Ashley Brand this weekend. I hope you have a great weekend. God bless.
-Brian-
