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A relatively benign, dry weather pattern continues across Alabama for the next five to seven days. Afternoon highs will remain well above normal; over the weekend afternoon temperatures will peak somewhere between 85 and 90 degrees around the state with only a very small risk of any one spot getting wet.
FOR THE SPORTS FANS: For high school games this evening, most of them have a 7:00 p.m. kick off. It should be around 80 at most stadiums falling into the 70s. Only a slight risk of a shower during the games. For college football Saturday, we can group all three games together. Vanderbilt plays at Auburn at 11:30, Houston is at Alabama at 2:00 and UAB is at Mississippi State for an afternoon game. At all three stadiums, temperatures will peak between in the upper 80s, except possibly 90 at Starkville, during the games. There is little or no chance of rain at any of the games.
At the Talladega Superspeedway, warm and mostly dry weather both tomorrow and Sunday with race temperatures between 84 and 87 degrees. The chance of a shower both days is only about one in ten.
NEXT WEEK: A surface front will move through here late Tuesday, but with only limited forcing and upper support, beneficial or widespread rain does not look likely. Then, another dry airmass moves in here for the latter half of the week with lower humidlty levels and slightly cooler nights. The models continue to back away from the idea of a tropical storm in the southern Gulf of Mexico, including the Canadian, which has been the most aggressive in recent days. Looks like broad low pressure will move across the Yucatan peninsula, and then into the Mexican coast well south of Brownsville, Texas. Hard to find a single model that shows significant organization now.
LONG RANGE: The GFS and the ECMWF still hold out some hope for a nice cool-down in the October 16-18 time frame with a deep upper trough over the eastern U.S. But, widespread rain is not expected during the change. The simple bottom line is that our weather still looks very dry for the next 16 days.
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STORM ALERT XTREME: We hope to see you on Saturday, November 10 at the BJCC for our annual severe storm training session. Once again this year, the Alabama International Auto Show is a sponsor of Storm Alert XTREME, and it will be held at the BJCC. This is your chance to learn more about Alabama weather, and to be trained as a storm spotter. ABC 33/40 Meteorologist Brian Peters, long time WCM (Warning Coordination Meteorologist) for the National Weather Service in Birmingham, will teach a basic and advanced course on spotting small scale features within thunderstorms that are very important to meteorologists. Read more about Storm Alert XTREME here.
I enjoyed speaking today to the high school students gathered at the Youth Leadership Forum sponsored by Alabama Power Company. They were really a good audience. My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here Monday morning at 7:00… Brian Peters will have the videos over the weekend. Enjoy the weekend!
