RADAR CHECK: Most of the showers and storms across the northern half of Alabama are east of I-65 this afternoon… they are showing little movement, and will fade away once the sun goes down later this evening. Otherwise, we have a mix of sun and clouds with temperatures not as hot as recent days… generally between 85 and 90 degrees. The average high at Birmingham for September 21 is 84 degrees. Continue reading →

DRIER AFTER TODAY: We will maintain the chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms across Alabama today as a moist, unstable airmass stays in place. Chance of any one location getting rain this afternoon will be in th 40 percent category… otherwise we expect a mix of sun and clouds with a high in the upper 80s. Continue reading →

MUGGY DAYS; SCATTERED STORMS: Moist, unstable air will continue to cover Alabama today, and this afternoon showers and storms should fire up in random, scattered places. Models have trended a little drier; odds of any one spot getting wet this afternoon are in the 30/40 percent range. The high will be between 87 and 90 degrees with a mix of sun and clouds. Continue reading →

MORNING SUN, AFTERNOON STORMS: The upper ridge over the southern U.S. will weaken a bit in coming days… this means a general increase in the number of showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours. Chance of any one community seeing rain today is around 50 percent, and close to 60 percent tomorrow and Friday. Most of the storms will come from about 12:00 noon to 10:00 p.m. Otherwise, look for a mix of sun and clouds each day with a high between 88 and 91 degrees. Continue reading →

ON THE MAPS: We have a deep upper trough for late summer over the nation’s mid-section this morning, driving a surface front in our direction. This setup will bring the risk of strong to severe storms to parts of the Mid-South today, with the primary threat for places like Little Rock and Memphis. SPC has a “marginal risk” (level 1/5) defined for the northwest corner of Alabama… Continue reading →

RADAR CHECK: Most of the showers and thunderstorms across Alabama at mid-afternoon are over the southern half of the state; they are producing heavy rain, gusty winds, lots of lightning, and some small hail as they move east… Continue reading →

SUN, HEAT, STORMS: The weak front that drifted into North Alabama has pretty much dissipated, and Alabama is in a moist, unstable airmass this morning. We note a few showers over parts of West Alabama around daybreak, and we will deal with scattered showers and thunderstorms through the day, with most of them coming this afternoon and early tonight. Chance of any one spot getting wet is around one in three; otherwise the day will feature a mix of sun and clouds with a high in the low 90s. Continue reading →

RADAR CHECK: As expected, showers are few and far between across the northern third of Alabama this afternoon… but we do have a few heavier storms south of I-20 as I write this update at 3:15p CT. Heavy rain was falling over parts of Shelby County, and in the broad zone from Montgomery over to Alexander City and Opelika. Storms are moving slowly to the south, and will fade away later this evening once the sun goes down. Temperatures are in the low 90s in most places, but of course it is cooler where thunderstorms have formed. Continue reading →

ON THE MAPS: A surface front is drifting southward through Tennessee this afternoon, and we have a number of showers and thunderstorms over the Tennessee Valley of North Alabama at mid-afternoon. We will maintain the chance of showers and storms tonight as the front pushes into our state from the north. Heavier storms will be capable of producing heavy rain, gusty winds, and lots of lightning. Continue reading →

MUGGY MORNING: The radar is quiet early this morning across Alabama, but humidity levels remain sky high, and we expect scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms by afternoon, thanks to the daytime heating process and an approaching surface front. Chance of any one spot getting wet later today is in the 50/60 percent range, and the high will be close to 90 before storms develop. Continue reading →