Ttropical depression 5 has weakened to a low pressure area now, with scattered thunderstorms in the Gulf and wind gusts mainly less than 25 knots. However, the low will likely still move up into Louisiana/Mississippi/Alabama. With the low to our southwest, southerly winds will increase moisture over Alabama over the next several days. Atmospheric precipitable water will increase from 1.5 inches over Alabama today to over 2 inches by Friday and Saturday. This will increase the chance for scattered thunderstorms, and some of these may produce heavy rainfall. The clouds and rain will likely cool it off around here, too!
Since this system is so weak and disorganized, I don’t expect it to produce tropical rains of 5 to 10″ over a wide area or anything. Most likely, we’re looking at average rainfall amounts of 1-2″, and it won’t rain all the time, either.
