Published on: September 2, 2007 at 10:06 PM

Felix is a category five hurricane late tonight…

Felix

FAST FACTS AS OF 10 PM CDT….
LOCATION…13.9N 73.9W OR 625 MILES EAST OF EAST OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER.
MOVEMENT…WEST 21 MPH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…165 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…930 MB…27.46 INCHES (ESTIMATED).

A hurricane watch has been issued for the north coast of Honduras. Nicaragua will experience hurricane conditions also.

A tropical storm watch is in effect for Jamaica and the Cayman Islands.

Another Air Force plane is scheduled to be in the plane just after midnight.

The official track is basically unchanged. The new development is that the GFS now keeps the hurricane over Central America after landfall along the Honduran Coast Tuesday.

Felix track

The ridge of high pressure over the Gulf is the next key factor in the track. If the hurricane does not remain over Central America, it will move toward Belize and the Yucatan Wednesday. The question will be whether the trough over the Central U.S. can weaken the ridge over the Gulf. If it holds strong, the hurricane will continue westward. If it weakens, the hurricane will be able to move motr northwestward into the Gulf.