The latest edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme Video is available in the player below. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme Video on iTunes by clicking here.
Still dealing with connectivity issues at my location so trying to get in an abbreviated video. And boy, what a forecast challenge we have ahead of us. The two major models we use do not agree at all on the future course of the Gulf system, but they do agree that we stay dry no matter which model you choose.
The disturbance in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico is likely to develop and become Debby. NHC at this writing puts the development chances at 70 percent. But as you will see in the video, all of the various models differ on where it is going. Though there appear to be only two choices. In a nutshell, the GFS takes the storm across North Florida into the Southwest Atlantic and then northeastward. The ECMWF, on the other hand, moves the storm northward but then takes is westward across the Central Gulf and into Texas. While certainly quite different, both model solutions keep us hot and dry for the upcoming week.
While a weak front is moving through the area today, it will have little if any effect. Perhaps an isolated storm may occur especially over the northeast sections of Alabama but I think most of us stay dry.
Following the departure of the tropical system, the GFS builds the ridge back into our area as does the European behind the westward moving tropical system.
As we get out a week or so, the ridge is still the main feature for our weather so hot and dry conditions remain. Longer term, the GFS is still hanging onto a trough that could bring some enhanced rain chances to the Southeast around July 1 or 2. Got my fingers crossed on that one.
In the near term, heat indices will be on the rise and drought conditions will continue to become more of an issue for Central Alabama. No rain in my guagge since June 11th.
Don’t forget to listen to our weekly netcast anytime on the web or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. You can even listen here on the blog; look for the player on the top left.
And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…
| James Spann | Charles Daniel | Ashley Brand |
| J. B. Elliott | Bill Murray | Brian Peters |
| E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings) |
Thanks for your patience on the lack of videos. I found out yesterday that the storm a couple of weeks ago apparently damaged the wireless network at Cheaha State Park. I’m hoping they get it fixed soon, but I will continue to try to post at least a bare minimum video if I can. Godspeed.
-Brian-
