This is the hardest part of a winter weather situation…waiting for the weather features to start producing the sensible elements that have been forecast.
No change in the advisories. BMX continues a Winter Weather Advisory for Bibb, Blount, Fayette, Jefferson, Lamar, Marion, Pickens, Shelby, Tuscaloosa, Walker and Winston Counties till 6:00 AM CST.
It turns into a Winter Storm Watch then and the following counties are added: Autauga, Barbour, Bullock, Calhoun, Chambers, Cherokee, Chilton, Clay, Cleburne, Coosa, Dallas, Elmore, Etowah, Greene, Hale, Lee, Lowndes, Macon, Marengo, Montgomery, Perry, Pike, Randolph, Russell, St. Clair, Sumter, Talladega and Tallapoosa Counties till 3:00 PM CST
The models still turn the upper level low into South Alabama overnight. Snow should continue to break out overnight over Northwest Alabama, spreading into the I-59 corridor by sunrise.
Our forecast of general 1 to 2 inch amounts still looks good according to the models The best chance for heavier amounts looks like it might occur to the northeast of Birmingham.
Will that play out. We will have to see if reality looks like what the models are portraying.
STORM REPORTS
It has been a historic storm across Tennessee…here are some reports from the NWS Memphis…
…Parker’s Cross Roads [Henderson Co, TN] public reports SNOW of E9.0 INCH at 11:00 PM CST
…Ellendale [Shelby Co, TN] NWS employee reports SNOW of M7.5 INCH at 11:00 PM CST — snowfall of one inch in the last 20 minutes.
…Maury City [Crockett Co, TN] trained spotter reports SNOW DRIFTS of M18.5 INCH at 10:52 PM CST — snow drifts of up to 18.5 inches.
…N. Jackson at 11 PM: -SN 31F Snowfall Accumulation 8.5″ (0.6″ in last hour).
…Lakeland [Shelby Co, TN] nws employee reports SNOW of M5.5 INCH at 10:50 PM CST —
…Gilt Edge [Tipton Co, TN] public reports HEAVY SNOW of M11.0 INCH at 10:45 PM CST —
…1 E Blytheville [Mississippi Co, AR] public reports SNOW of M12.0 INCH at 10:35 PM CST —
…Arlington [Shelby Co, TN] trained spotter reports SNOW of M6.5 INCH at 10:40 PM CST —
…Manila [Mississippi Co, AR] trained spotter reports SNOW of M6.8 INCH at 10:30 PM CST —
…Henderson [Chester Co, TN] trained spotter reports SNOW of M5.0 INCH at 10:30 PM CST —
…5 Sse Jackson [Madison Co, TN] trained spotter reports SNOW of M8.5 INCH at 10:30 PM CST —
…4 Ssw Walcott [Greene Co, AR] trained spotter reports SNOW of M9.2 INCH at 10:28 PM CST — snow drifts up to 18 inches.
…Jackson [Madison Co, TN] trained spotter reports SNOW of M8.0 INCH at 10:20 PM CST — snowfall total since 5pm.
…1 miles NE of Lorado, AR (Greene county) — Snow still coming down hard. Still snowing at an inch an hour. Up to 9 1/4 inches of snow on the ground with drifts up to about 18 inches. Will give a final total in the morning…