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Another very nice start to the day across Alabama… some 5:00 observations:
Muscle Shoals 57
Jasper 60
Decatur 60
Tuscaloosa 61
Mt. Cheaha 62
We are not as cool as yesterday morning, however, when most of the cooler valleys reached the mid to upper 40s.
LOOKING AHEAD: The first half of the week will be dry, with partly to mostly sunny days and fair nights through Wednesday. Moisture levels will slowly increase from the east, but we see no significant chance of rain for the next three days. Highs will be generally in the mid 80s.
LATE THIS WEEK: Most model guidance continues the trend toward developing a tropical type system in the Gulf of Mexico. The Canadian is one of the most aggressive models, and keeps this system over the central part of the Gulf. It moves it westward, toward Brownsville, Texas by the weekend. The GFS is weaker and farther to the north. Even if the GFS is correct, the deeper moisture will be found over the southern half of Alabama. So, we will mention just a chance of a shower around here by late Thursday or Friday, but for the moment it looks like the best chance of rain will stay down south.
WEEKEND PEEK: As our Gulf system moves to the west, there will be an increase in moisture levels here, but no serious trigger for rain. So, there could be a few scattered showers here on Saturday or Sunday, but at this time a major rain event does not look likely. Of course, anytime a tropical system is involved, all of this might change in coming days.
LONG RANGE: As we venture into voodoo land, there is no real sign of another intrusion of chilly air for the rest of September. In fact, the 00Z GFS shows upper ridging continuing into the first couple of days of October across the southern U.S., which could suggest temperatures a little above normal for this time of the year.
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Look for the next edition of the Weather Xtreme video here by 3:30 this afternoon… enjoy the day!