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Another easy forecast today; warm and dry is the story for Alabama with a high back in the 80s. Another preview of summer.
Looks like tomorrow will be generally dry as well, but I have mentioned some chance of a shower tomorrow night with a weak lobe of energy moving through the state.
FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Looks like we might have to hit the chance of showers and storms a little harder over the weekend based on model trends. On Friday, a few scattered showers and storms will likely fire up during the warmth of the afternoon as deeper moisture moves into Alabama.
On Saturday, a cold front will approach the Tennessee Valley and become stationary somewhere over North Alabama. The best coverage of showers and storms on Saturday will be north of I-20, but a few scattered ones will be possible below Birmingham as well. We are still not talking about an “all day” rain, but a shower or storm is a pretty good possibility, especially during the afternoon and evening hours.
Sunday, that lead front dissipates, and a stronger front approaches late in the day. We will keep the chance of scattered showers and storms going during the day Sunday, but the best coverage of rain could very well come Sunday night as that second front passes through. We might even have a strong storm or two as there is good upper support thanks to a strong trough aloft.
RACE WEEKEND FORECAST: Based on this, the chance of a passing shower or storm at the Superspeedway Saturday and Sunday is now about one in two, so a rain delay is a definite possibility. But, again, we don’t expect a total wash-out.
NEXT WEEK: The GFS now pushes the front east of Alabama early Monday morning; with this solution we can take out the rain for most of the day Monday, and drop temperatures a good bit; we will probably be in the 60s all day with a clearing sky. The weather Tuesday and Wednesday will be dry with a high in the 70 to 73 degree range, and early morning lows in the 40s. So, we will go from temperatures above average this week to below average next week.
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