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DRY SUMMER DAYS: Watch the Weather Xtreme video and you will see the ridge looks like it will now hold through the weekend, meaning mostly sunny, hot days through Sunday. For now, we have some risk of scattered showers and storms in our ongoing seven day forecast on Sunday, but if the 12Z runs coming in with the ridge holding, we will remove that from the forecast later today. Highs will stay in the low to mid 90s, with mid 90s over the weekend as the soil moisture begins to decrease. Dewpoints and humidity levels will remain high, and the afternoon heat index will be close to 100 each afternoon.
The position of the upper ridge will keep the main MCS areas going through the Plains, the Midwest, and around the Great Lakes, and SPC has a moderate risk of severe weather for some of these areas today and tomorrow. Pretty much the “ring of fire” effect you see around a heat ridge in the summer months.
NEXT WEEK: At some point the ridge should go into retrogression, pushing the hottest weather to the west, and allowing the return of scattered showers and storms next week, possibly as early as Monday. Highs next week should drop back into the upper 80s as an upper trough forms along the Atlantic coast.
AT THE BEACH: Sunny days, clear nights through the weekend on the coast. Highs right on the beach in the mid 80s, with mid 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are very warm; in the upper 80s in most spots from Panama City west to Gulf Shores. No sign of any tropical trouble anytime soon.
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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 3:30 this afternoon… enjoy the day!