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WET FRIDAY: As expected light rain has moved into Northwest Alabama this morning, and periods of light rain will continue statewide today as a cold front moves through the state. Most communities will see only a quarter-inch of rain, and all of the showers should be out of here by evening. Temperatures will be cooler today due to the clouds and showers; most places will remain under 70.
BRIGHTER WEEKEND: We continue to promise a really nice November weekend with sunny days, high in the mid 60s, and lows well down in the 40s. The models are trending colder, and considering the snow cover up north, I am beginning to think most places will see upper 30s at daybreak Sunday, with potential for a light freeze across the colder valleys. We need to adjust our numbers downward a bit on the seven day forecast; we also note the models are now showing highs only in the upper 50s on Sunday.
MONDAY MORNING: We will also need to adjust our numbers down for Monday morning, the GFS MOS is printing 36 for Birmingham; looks like we might have a good frost, with another freeze for the colder valleys.
FOOTBALL WEATHER: There is an outside risk of a shower for the first half of tonight’s high school playoff games over the eastern third of Alabama, but most stadiums will be dry. Temperatures will fall into the 50s during the games with a cloudy sky.
U. T. Martin travels to Auburn for the Auburn homecoming game tomorrow afternoon. Kick off is 1:30 and on PPV only. Look for sunshine with a temperature around 68 at kick off and in the 50s by the 4th quarter. Alabama will be playing LSU in Baton Rouge with a 2:30 kick off Saturday on CBS. It should be mostly sunny with about 72 at kick off and 60s in the second half. No significant wind.
NEXT WEEK: The 00Z GFS is a bit of an outlier next week; it now holds off the rain until Wednesday; we will toss out that solution for now and maintain a good chance of rain on Tuesday… we can make adjustments over the weekend if needed. A very dynamic system is due in here at the end of next week, Friday November 14, with a good chance of heavy rain, and some potential for strong to severe storms. We will be more specific about both systems on Monday.
UNA PALOMA BLACA: Anyone remember the song by the George Baker Selection? Or maybe the version by Slim Whitman? Probably not… but I am afraid our friends in Cuba will remember Hurricane Paloma… this system will make landfall on the south coast of Cuba Sunday morning, and there is potential for this one to reach category three status by the time of landfall. Paloma will continue moving northeast, across the Bahamas, and then into the open Atlantic as an extra-tropical storm. See the Weather Xtreme video for the graphics.
STORM ALERT XTREME: Want to be trained as a storm spotter? Want to join the ABC 33/40 Skywatcher team? Our annual training event, Storm Alert Xtreme, is coming up on Saturday November 15 at the BJCC during the annual Birmingham International Auto Show. You will be trained by the best SKYWARN trainer in the nation, our own Brian Peters (he has trained over 6,000 Alabama storm spotters over the years), and learn from one of the most brilliant weather researchers in the country, our own Dr. Tim Coleman. We encourage all of our Skywatchers to attend this every year; you simply cannot get enough training. We will begin at 9:30, and be out by 3:30. And, everyone that attends Storm Alert Xtreme gets free admission to the Alabama International Auto Show. There is no admission charge, and no need to register. Just show up, but get there early for a good seat. We had a packed house last year.
TWITTER: Don’t forget, you can follow our news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. And, my personal Twitter feed is here if you want to keep up with my adventures in life. Twitter is a short messaging service you can receive via the web, cell phone, or IM.
I will have the next Weather Xtreme video here by 3:30 this afternoon…. enjoy the day!
