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MORE RAPID CHANGES: After a clear chilly morning, clouds will increase today across Alabama in advance of the next impulse in the fast upper flow across the southern U.S. A little rain could reach West Alabama late in the day, but most of the rain will come tonight and early tomorrow. Seems like the main window for rain will be from about 8:00 p.m. until 8:00 a.m. While a few thunderstorms could be involved, there is little surface based instability and weak upper support, so severe weather is not expected. Rain amounts in the 1/4 to 1/2 inch range are likely.
REST OF THE WEEKEND: After a cloudy, soggy start, we could see a few peeks of sunshine tomorrow afternoon, while the chance of rain will continue down over South Alabama, especially near the Gulf coast. At this point, Sunday looks dry for the northern half of the state, while rain will continue at times south of Montgomery. Look for a high in the low 60s tomorrow, followed by upper 50s on Sunday.
NEXT WEEK: Monday looks sunny and cool with a high in the 50s. The GFS continues to trend slower with our mid-week system; seems like the main chance of rain will be late Tuesday night into the day Wednesday. Some potential for thunderstorms, but for now the severe weather risk seems low.
VOODOO LAND: The NAO goes negative during the last half of February, which generally means the weather will be colder over the eastern U.S. Not much confidence in anything specific with model madness, however.
STORM ALERT 2009: What a great crowd last night in Jasper; the place was packed. A big thanks to everyone for coming out; we sure had a great time. Next week’s show will be in Oxford at the Civic Center… we hope to see you there!
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