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As was mentioned yesterday, we’re looking at some wetter weather over much of the upcoming week. And the moisture along with clouds will help to keep temperatures in check with afternoon highs running at or just a couple of degrees below averages for late July.
In the upper atmosphere, we will continue to deal with the anomalous trough which has brought us a somewhat cooler spell for the latter part of July. Within that trough there are going to be short waves traversing through the bigger trough helping to enhance rain chances. For the most part we can expect daily afternoon and early evening showers, but these traveling short waves introduce some timing issues for the forecast. Depending on when they move by, we could see better rain chances at night or in the morning, so keep up with the daily forecast as the timing on these is refined with updated forecasts.
Without an air mass change, we are going to stay very moist – downright soupy – with dew points running around 70 degrees. So humidity will remain high and aid the development of showers.
Clouds and showers will help to keep the temperature in check with highs over the next week running around the upper 80s. Rainfall for Central Alabama for the next five days is likely to come in around 1 inch with some spots potentially getting 2 inches or more. Should any large clusters affect the area, higher rainfall amounts are possible. Just remember that because all of the rain is expected to come in showers, it is possible that some spots could get very little rain. With the coverage we see on the radar this morning in Tennessee, it does not seem likely that will happen, but as a good friend often says, “You can’t never tell about the weather!”
SPC has portions of Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and northwest Alabama in a slight risk for severe thunderstorms today and tonight. Once again, we will need to keep a wary eye for the development of any mesoscale convective complexes or MCCs which could bring damaging wind and the threat of flash flooding.
Elsewhere the tropics remain quiet.
Looking further ahead, hot weather fans will enjoy the longer range GFS which has done a complete flip since the Weather Xtreme Video yesterday. The GFS now suggests a large upper ridge right over the Mid-South area for the first part of August. If this is what happens, we are in for some fairly hot weather but with moisture levels remaining high, we’ll also see daily shower possibilities.
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| James Spann | Jason Simpson | Ashley Brand |
| J. B. Elliott | Bill Murray | Brian Peters |
| Dr. Tim Coleman | E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings) |
James Spann will be back tomorrow morning with the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video. Unfortunately I have got to return to reality – translation: come off the mountain – to take care of some business, but I’ll probably be back up on Cheaha by the end of the week. Godspeed.
-Brian-
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