Author Archives: Scott Brown
Center of Fred is Getting Very Close to the Shoreline of Cape San Blas, Florida
As of 1:05 pm, the center of Tropical Storm Fred was approaching the Gulf Coast and will soon start the process of moving onshore at Cape San Blas. Maximum sustained winds are currently at 65 mph and was moving to the north-northeast at 9 mph. Continue reading
1 PM Advisory — Fred Sending Dangerous Storm Surge & Flooding Rains to the Florida Panhandle & Big Bend Region
Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected before landfall. After landfall, Fred is expected to quickly weaken. Continue reading
1 PM Advisory — Grace’s Heavy Rains Spreading Westward Across Southern Haiti
On the forecast track, the center of Grace will move over or near the Tiburon Peninsula of Haiti this afternoon and tonight, and then pass between Jamaica, Cuba, and the Cayman Islands on Tuesday and Wednesday. Continue reading
1 PM Advisory — TD 8 Continues to Move Southward
The depression is moving toward the south near 9 mph. A slow clockwise turn toward the southwest and then toward the west is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of the depression will move well to the south of Bermuda. Continue reading
Latest Wind Gust Reports from NWS Tallahassee
We are really starting to see some strong wind gusts along the Florida panhandle as Fred approaches from the south. Some of these wind gusts are almost up to what would equal severe thunderstorm criteria. We may see gusts reach as high as 75 mph especially around and close to the center of Fred. Continue reading
10 AM Advisory — Grace About to Cross the Barahona Peninsula of the Dominican Republic
Tropical storm conditions are possible in the Dominican Republic today, in Haiti today into tonight, and in Jamaica on Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are expected along the southern coast of Cuba within the warning area on Tuesday, and over the Cayman Islands beginning late Tuesday into early Wednesday. Continue reading
10 AM Advisory — TD 8 Is Very Close to Becoming a Tropical Storm
Tropical storm conditions are possible across Bermuda and the nearby waters on Tuesday, particularly to the south of the island. Continue reading
10 AM Advisory — Fred Expected to Bring Dangerous Storm Surge to Florida’s Panhandle & Big Bend
A National Ocean Service observation site at Apalachicola, Florida, recently reported a wind gust of 37 mph. NOAA buoy 42039, located about 130 miles south-southeast of Pensacola, Florida, recently reported a sustained wind of 56 mph. Continue reading
10 PM Advisory — Tropical Depression 8 Forms Northeast of Bermuda
The depression should make a slow clockwise turn around Bermuda, steered by a mid-level ridge currently centered off the coast of the Carolinas. Warm SSTs should provide ample fuel to support at least slight strengthening during this period, despite expected northerly shear, and this is shown by all of the intensity guidance. Continue reading
10 PM Advisory — Grace Remains a Depression & Causing Heavy Rain in Puerto Rico
The forecast for Grace is incredibly challenging. Imminent interactions with the high terrain of Hispaniola and Cuba could cause Grace to dissipate as soon as Monday evening. However, a track south of Cuba may allow Grace to maintain its tropical cyclone status and possibly even intensify. Continue reading
