Author Archives: Scott Brown
Karen Weakening & Is Expected To Be A Remnant Low By Saturday
In about a day, the upper-level environment will become increasingly hostile with the development of northwesterly shear, and thereafter, the shear will become even stronger from the southwest. Continue reading
Lorenzo Now Moving Northwestward; Large Swells Likely To Affect The Windward Islands
The global models suggest that Lorenzo’s interaction with the aforementioned upper-level trough should increase during recurvature, which should cause increased shear and a gradual weakening of the cyclone. Continue reading
Karen’s Wind Field Beginning To Unravel, Expected To Be A Remnant Low By Saturday
The deterioration of Karen’s structure suggests that weakening is imminent, especially with an expected increase in northerly shear during the next day or so. Continue reading
It’s Midday & It’s No Different… Hot & Dry
We have mostly clear to partly cloudy skies across Central Alabama as of 11:30 am. Continue reading
Lorenzo Now A Category 4 Hurricane
While its exact ranking will be determined later, Lorenzo is one of the largest and most powerful hurricanes of record for the central tropical Atlantic, with the only comparable hurricane in recent times near there being Gabrielle of 1989. Continue reading
Karen Slightly Stronger; Forecast To Become A Remnant Low In A Few Days
Karen has been maintaining a cluster of convection to the west of its center, but visible satellite images and wind data suggest that the low-level circulation is becoming elongated. Continue reading
Lorenzo Rapidly Strengthening Into A Major Hurricane
The slightly ragged but clearing eye of the hurricane is surrounded by very cold cloud tops, and it has become clear that Lorenzo is rapidly intensifying. Continue reading
Karen Barely Hangs On To Tropical Storm Status
The storm appears quite disheveled in satellite images, with an elongated east to west convective pattern and a lack of well-defined banding features. Continue reading
Jerry Has Become A Remnant Low, Sustained Winds Drop Below Tropical Storm Strength
Jerry is now a remnant low, and the Bermuda Weather Service has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for Bermuda. This is the last advisory on Jerry. Continue reading
Karen Is Weaker; Conditions Not Favorable For Significant Strengthening
If the global models are correct, Karen could even lose deep convection, and hence become post-tropical, in about 3 days. Continue reading
