The storm in northern Jefferson county seems to be moving to the right of the mean flow, or more easterly. This happens when a storm has an intense updraft, and causes the storm to tap into the enviroinmental shear more … Continue reading →

**TORNADO EMERGENCY** Tornado reported on ground near Sumiton around 1025 pm, moving east or just north of due east. Places like Hayden, Trafford, Morris, Kimberly, Warrior, Dora, Blount Springs, Arkadelphia, Mount Olive, Masseyline, Selfville, maybe even Palmerdale, need to take … Continue reading →

As the low-level jet continues to pull north, away from Alabama, the wind shear is slowly going down. Also, with nightfall, instability is not increasing overall with the weather system. So, it is not surprising that the aerial coverage of … Continue reading →

As we mentioned earlier, the strongest wind shear is pulling a little bit to the north, while the best instability is hanging back in SW AL and S MS. So, **hopefully** our storms will continue to weaken. However, shear is … Continue reading →

Three storms at the southern end of the line, one moving into Fayette County, one in Pickens County, and one approaching southern Pickens county, all look dangerous. The wind shear is slowly decreasing from off-the-chart to very high over AL, … Continue reading →

Fortunately, the large storm that produced a tornado in cdentral MS has weakened as it moved into the more stable air over Alabama. The warm air has produced scattered showers and thunderstorms over much of central Alabama, holding temperatures down … Continue reading →

There are reports of structural damage and possibly an EF4 tornado in Yazoo City earlier with the cell that continues to move across central MS. This storm will continue to move through an area with very high wind shear and … Continue reading →

The above chart, EHI or energy helicity index, shows the combination of wind shear for storm rotation and instability for storm development. Anything over 1 is considered sufficient for tornadoes, over 5 is extreme, but 11 in eastern MS? That … Continue reading →

**DANGEROUS WEATHER SITUATION THIS AFTERNOON** The storms moving through central Alabama are still bad, with many reports of large hail and 40-60 mph winds downing some trees. The wind shear is extreme right now, so damage and even isolated tornadoes … Continue reading →

The latest radar trends, surface data, and the model indications that the low-level jet will move into west AL tomorrow morning, suggest that the warm front will make it east of BHM by morning, bringing dewpoints near 70. It also … Continue reading →